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Tuesday, April 8, 2014

STI and KLCI Technical Analysis Outlook

Market Review for STI:
Singapore share opened flat today where STI made a gap down opening at 3186.43 further it took the upside move and made a high of 3211.96 and closed at the higher side at 3204.09, STI formed the green candle for the day.
STI Day Performance
Open
3186.43
High
3211.96
Low
3186.09
Close
3204.09
Change(Points)
+10.50
% Change
0.33
Volume
1945.9M
Rise
249
Fall
146
Unch
673
Market forecast for STI:
Today STI formed a green candle for the day with a long real body and a long upper shadow. After making two red candles on the daily basis today it made a long green candle and takes an up move. Today STI formed the Bullish Belt-Hold Line pattern for the day.
Technical indicators:
RSI is above the centre line @65.13 where CCI is @ 82.76
STRAITS TIME LEVELS
Support 1
3194
Support 2
3180
Support 3
3160
Resistance 1
3214
Resistance 2
3230
Resistance 3
3250
Important Factor for today:-
  • SGX announced that the customer will have a direct access to transparent clearing services, this will effect greater optional efficiency and cost saving through its platform.So companies and banks who want to hedge their exposure between the Thai baht and Malaysian ringgit through non-deliverable interest rate swaps (NDIRS) are now able to do so directly at the Singapore Exchange (SGX), instead of going through their banks.
  • Intellectual Property Office of Singapore launched a new S$ 100 Million intellectual Property Financing Scheme to help the local business. 
Top Looser
Scrip Name
CMP
%change
JSH 500US$
35.25
-0.14
StarHub
4.18
-0.24
HKLand US$
6.52
-0.31
JMH 400US$
61.11
-0.62
HPH Trust US$
0.645
-0.77
Top Gainers
Scrip Name
CMP
%change
Noble Grp
1.28
4.92
Jardine C&C
48.55
3.08
GoldenAgr
0.59
2.61
SembMar
4.11
1.99
UOB
21.86
1.44
Market Review for KLCI:
KLCI opened flat today later was not able to take any upside and formed a Red candle for the day. Today low of 1851.37 was made where KLCI closed at 1852.31. Buyers were dominated by the sellers in today’s session.
KLCI Day Performance
Open
1861.03
High
1861.19
Low
1851.37
Close
1852.31
Change(Points)
-10.59
% Change
0.57
Volume
1894.9M
Rise
389
Fall
424
Unch
1312
Market forecast for KLCI:
A Long Red candle was formed for the day with a very little lower shadow, Red Marubozu pattern formation was there on the chart on the daily basis in which there is the long real body.
Technical indicators:
RSI is above the centre line @59.96 else CCI is @88.44 
KLCI LEVELS
Support 1
1842
Support 2
1830
Support 3
1815
Resistance 1
1862
Resistance 2
1875
Resistance 3
1890
 Top Gainer
Scrip Name
CMP
%change
TENAGA
11.8
1.03
IOICORP
4.84
0.83
RHBCAP
8.43
0.72
UMW
11.2
0.54
 Top Looser
Scrip Name
CMP
%change
BAT
59.6
-0.1
MISC
6.78
-0.29
MAXIS
6.94
-0.29
MAYBANK
9.74
-0.41
HLBANK
14.08
-0.42

Friday, March 28, 2014

GOLD | SILVER | COPPER | CRUDE Commodity Technical Analysis

GOLD
Gold retreated overnight to open at 1292.50/1293.50. It climbed to a high of 1299.50/1300.5 on concerns of tougher sanctions on Russia by the West despite a decline in initial jobless claims in the U.S. The metal then declined to a six-week low of 1292.00/1293.00 on dollar strength and speculation that U.S. interest rates will rise sooner than expected. Thereafter, it consolidated to close the day at 1293.50/1294.50.
GOld Chart Gold ended the session at 1294, closing below the 200 day MA at 1296 as it approaches the 50% Fibo retracement level (1287.45) of the 2014 rally to mid-March. Subsequent downside levels include the 100 day MA at 1272 and the 61.8% Fibo retracement level at 1262.70. Resistance is expected at 1308 the March 24th close.
The Labor Department said the number of people who filed for initial jobless benefits in the U.S. last week declined by 10,000 to a seasonally adjusted 311,000 from the previous week’s revised total of 321,000. Analysts had expected jobless claims to rise by 4,000.
The upbeat data added to hopes that the slowdown in economic activity seen at the start of the year would be temporary.
Also Thursday, the National Association of Realtors said its pending home sales index dropped by a seasonally adjusted 0.8% last month, disappointing expectations for a 0.3% gain.
SILVER
Silver moved lower overnight to openSilver Chart at 19.64/19.69. After a brief high at 19.74/19.79, it declined to a low of 19.60/19.65, prior to concluding the session at 19.70/19.75.
Silver closed at 19.73. The bearish trend in silver remains intact as the decline approaches the December 31st low at 18.8266. There are no key support levels ahead of the December 31st low.
The gold silver ratio has formed an engulfing bearish reversal; closing at 65.56, below yesterday’s open despite initially trading on an upswing. The upward sloping resistance trend line from the December and February highs has held, highlighting a challenge to further gains. Looking to the downside, the next key levels of support would be expected at 64.50 and 63.80.
COPPER
On the Comex division of the New York Mercantile Exchange, copper futures for May delivery rose to a session high of $2.986 a pound, before trimming gains to last trade at $2.978 during European morning hours, up 0.4%, or 1.2 cents.
Copper lost 1.33%, or 4.0 cents, on Wednesday to settle at $2.965 a pound.
copper crude
Futures were likely to find support at $2.939 a pound, the low from March 25 and resistance at $3.045 a pound, the high from March 25.
The U.S. is to publish final data on fourth quarter economic growth, as well as the weekly report on initial jobless claims and private sector data on pending home sales.
Upbeat U.S. durable goods orders figures on Wednesday indicated that economy is gaining momentum in the wake of a weather-induced slowdown.
Meanwhile, in China, data released earlier showed mainland China industrial profits increased 9.4% in the two months through February year-on-year, compared with 17% growth a year earlier.
The industrial metal fell to $2.877 a pound on March 19, the lowest since July 2010, amid growing concerns over the health of China’s economy.
The Asian nation is the world’s largest copper consumer, accounting for almost 40% of world consumption last year.
Copper prices regained strength on Thursday, as investors looked ahead to key U.S. economic data later in the day for further indications on the strength of the economy and the future course of monetary policy..
CRUDE
On the New York Mercantile Exchange, West Texas Intermediate crude oil for delivery in May traded at $101.35 a barrel, up 0.07%. On Thursday it reached the highest settlement price since March 7, after hitting an overnight session low of $100.04 a barrel and a high of $101.69 a barrel.
Crude Chart
Brent oil on the ICE futures exchange rose 80 cents, or 0.8%, to $107.83 a barrel on Thursday, its highest level since March 14.
Oil prices shot up after the Commerce Department reported earlier that U.S. gross domestic product was revised up to 2.6% in the final three months of 2013, up from a preliminary estimate of 2.4%. Market expectations had been for an upward revision to 2.7%.
Still, the report showed that personal spending was revised up to 3.3% from 2.6% initially, the fastest rate of growth in three years, which drew applause from investors betting that sluggish economic indicators hitting the wire earlier this year were the result of rough winter weather that disrupted commerce and not due to an economic soft patch.
Separately, the Labor Department said the number of individuals filing for initial jobless benefits in the U.S. last week declined by 10,000 to a 311,000 from the previous week’s revised total of 321,000.
Analysts were expecting jobless claims to rise by 4,000.
Also supporting both U.S. and European crude blends were concerns the U.S. and Europe may stiffen sanctions on crude-rich Russia and subsequently threaten global oil supply.
Crude oil prices gained slightly in Asia on Friday on a carryover from overnight better-than-expected U.S. economic growth and weekly jobless claims data.
Technical Levels
SUPPORT 1SUPPORT 2RESISTANCE 1RESISTANCE 2
GOLD1287127913051315
SILVER19.5219.3719.8420.01
COPPER3.01652.99653.04653.0565
CRUDE100.3099.33101.97102.67
Global Economic Data
TIME :ISTDATAPRVEXPIMPACT
6.00P.MCore PCE Price Index m/m0.1%0.1%MEDIUM
6.00P.MPersonal Spending m/m0.4%0.3%MEDIUM
7.25P.MRevised UoM Consumer Sentiment79.980.6MEDIUM
7.25P.MRevised UoM Inflation Expectations3.2%LOW
Core PCE Price Index m/m
SourceBureau of Economic Analysis (latest release)
MeasuresChange in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers, excluding food and energy;
Usual EffectActual > Forecast = Good for currency;
FrequencyReleased monthly, about 30 days after the month ends;
Next ReleaseMay 1, 2014
FF NotesDiffers from Core CPI in that it only measures goods and services targeted towards and consumed by individuals. Prices are weighted according to total expenditure per item which gives important insights into consumer spending behavior. This is rumored to be the Federal Reserve's favorite inflation measure, but CPI is released about 15 days earlier and tends to garner most of the attention;
Acro ExpandPersonal Consumption Expenditures (PCE), Consumer Price Index (CPI);
SourceBureau of Economic Analysis (latest release)
Personal Spending m/m
SourceBureau of Economic Analysis (latest release)
MeasuresAnnualized change in the inflation-adjusted value of all goods and services produced by the economy;
Usual EffectActual > Forecast = Good for currency;
FrequencyReleased quarterly, about 90 days after the quarter ends;
Next ReleaseJun 25, 2014
FF NotesWhile this is q/q data, it's reported in an annualized format (quarterly change x4). The 'Previous' listed is the 'Actual' from the Preliminary release and therefore the 'History' data will appear unconnected. There are 3 versions of GDP released a month apart - Advance, Preliminary, and Final. The Advance release is the earliest and thus tends to have the most impact;
Why Traders
Care
It's the broadest measure of economic activity and the primary gauge of the economy's health;
Revised UoM Consumer Sentiment
SourceUniversity of Michigan (latest release)
MeasuresLevel of a composite index based on surveyed consumers;
Usual EffectActual > Forecast = Good for currency;
FrequencyReleased monthly, usually on the last Friday of the current month;
Next ReleaseApr 25, 2014
FF NotesThe 'Previous' listed is the 'Actual' from the Preliminary release and therefore the 'History' data will appear unconnected. There are 2 versions of this data released about 15 days apart – Preliminary and Revised. The Preliminary release is the earliest and thus tends to have more impact;
Derived ViaSurvey of about 500 consumers which asks respondents to rate the relative level of current and future economic conditions;
Also CalledReuters/University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment;
Acro ExpandUniversity of Michigan (UoM);

Thursday, March 27, 2014

GOLD | SILVER | COPPER | CRUDE Technical Analysis

GOLD
Gold edged slightly higher overnight to open at 1313.50/1314.50, which was also the intraday high. Following the open it dipped to a low of 1300.25/1301.25 as the dollar strengthened and equities gained momentum following better-than-expected U.S. economic data that showed an increase in sales of durable goods. The slide in gold prices was also attributed to easing of tensions between Russia and the West, which suppressed demand for safe haven assets. The metal closed the day at 1302.50/1303.50.
GOld Chart Gold traded lower today, closing at 1302 and coming dangerously close to the 200-day moving average at 1296. A close below that level would be our stop-loss on our long-term bullish gold view. Resistance is at 1316/17, the high of the past two sessions.
Gold fell as encouraging U.S. manufacturing data reduced bullion’s appeal to institutional investors as a hedge against economic uncertainty
U.S. Federal Janet Yellen suggested interest rates could rise in the first half of 2015, raised the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding bullion.
SPDR gold trust holding dropped by 1.80 tonnes i.e. 0.22% to 816.97 tonnes from 818.77 tonnes.
SILVER
Silver was mostly unchanged overnight, opening at 19.97/20.02. It briefly climbed to a high of 20.01/20.06 before retreating on the back of gold to a low of 19.73/19.78, prior to concluding the session below the $20 mark at 19.76/19.81.
Silver had a bearish close today, closing lower at 19.76. We are bearish silver, looking for a test of the base of the consolidation that has been in place since early December, around the 18.83 low.
Silver Chart The gold-silver ratio is trading higher today at 65.90. There is support at 65.02, the 76.4% retracement of the last downtrend in the ratio from 67.47 high to 57.09 low. Uptrend support comes in at 62.99. We are bullish the ratio, targeting a test of the double top in the 67.50 area.
Silver prices dropped after official data showed that U.S. orders for long lasting manufactured goods came in higher-than-forecast in February.
Prices has been under heavy selling pressure amid growing expectations that the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates sooner than expected.
The Commerce Department reported that U.S. durable goods orders rose 2.2% last month, snapping two months of declines and surpassing expectations for a 1% increase.
COPPER
On the Comex division of the New York Mercantile Exchange, copper futures for May delivery fell to a session low of $2.982 a pound, before trimming losses to last trade at $2.985 during European morning hours, down 0.68%, or 2.0 cents.
Copper rallied to $3.045 a pound on Tuesday, the most since March 11, before settling at $3.005 a pound, up 2.04%, or 6.0 cents.
Futures were likely to find support at $2.939 a pound, the low from March 25 and resistance at $3.045 a pound, the high from March 25.
Copper Chart The U.S. is to release data on durable goods orders later in the session.
Data on Tuesday showed that U.S. consumer confidence improved more than expected in March. However, a separate report said that new home sales fell by the most in five months in February, indicating continued weakness in the housing sector.
Copper rallied on Tuesday amid growing hopes that China will unveil fresh stimulus measures to boost slowing economic growth.
Data released on Monday showed that Chinese manufacturing activity deteriorated for a third successive month in March.
The industrial metal fell to $2.877 a pound on March 19, the lowest since July 2010, amid growing concerns over the health of China’s economy.
Copper prices fell from the previous session’s two-week high on Wednesday, as investors looked ahead to key U.S. economic data later in the day for further indications on the strength of the economy and the future course of monetary policy.
CRUDE
On the New York Mercantile Exchange, West Texas Intermediate crude oil for delivery in May traded at $100.32 a barrel, up 0.05%, after hitting an overnight session low of $99.11 a barrel and a high of $100.13 a barrel.
Prices for the global Brent oil futures contract rose four cents to settle at $107.03 a barrel on the ICE Futures Europe exchange on Wednesday.
Crude Chart Overnight, oil prices firmed after the Commerce Department reported that U.S. durable goods orders rose 2.2% in February, wiping out two months of declines and surpassing expectations for a 1.0% increase.
Core durable goods orders, which exclude transportation items, inched up 0.2%, slightly below forecasts for a 0.3% gain.
The numbers fueled expectations for a more sustained pickup in the U.S. economy, which should hike demand for more fuel and energy.
Weekly inventory data gave oil prices a boost as well.
The U.S. Energy Information Administration said in its weekly report that U.S. crude oil inventories rose by 6.6 million barrels in the week ended March 21, above expectations for an increase of 2.8 million barrels.
The EIA also reported a 1.3 million barrel draw at a delivery point in Cushing, Oklahoma, which was larger expected and eclipsed the otherwise bearish 6.6 million-barrel build.
Total U.S. crude oil inventories stood at 382.5 million barrels as of last week.
Crude oil prices edged slightly higher in Asia on Thursday from a morning drop that followed overnight gains on better-than-expected reports on U.S. durable goods and oil inventories.
Technical Levels
SUPPORT 1 SUPPORT 2 RESISTANCE 1 RESISTANCE 2
GOLD 1296 1288 1314 1324
SILVER 19.67 19.59 20.08 20.16
COPPER 2.9930 2.9755 3.0380 3.0830
CRUDE 99.42 98.58 100.78 101.30
Global Economic Data
TIME :IST DATA PRV EXP IMPACT
6.00P.M Unemployment Claims 320k 326k STRONG
6.00P.M FOMC Member Pianalto Speaks MEDIUM
6.00P.M Final GDP q/q 2.4% 2.7% MEDIUM
7.30P.M Pending Home Sales m/m 0.1% 0.1% STRONG
Unemployment Claims
Source Department of Labor (latest release)
Measures The number of individuals who filed for unemployment insurance for the first time during the past week;
Usual Effect Actual < Forecast = Good for currency;
Frequency Released weekly, 5 days after the week ends;
Next Release Apr 3, 2014
FF Notes This is the nation’s earliest economic data. The market impact fluctuates from week to week – there tends to be more focus on the release when traders need to diagnose recent developments, or when the reading is at extremes;
Why Traders
Care
Although it’s generally viewed as a lagging indicator, the number of unemployed people is an important signal of overall economic health because consumer spending is highly correlated with labor-market conditions. Unemployment is also a major consideration for those steering the country’s monetary policy;
Also Called Jobless Claims, Initial Claims;
Final GDP q/q
Source Bureau of Economic Analysis (latest release)
Measures Annualized change in the inflation-adjusted value of all goods and services produced by the economy;
Usual Effect Actual > Forecast = Good for currency;
Frequency Released quarterly, about 90 days after the quarter ends;
Next Release Jun 25, 2014
FF Notes While this is q/q data, it’s reported in an annualized format (quarterly change x4). The ‘Previous’ listed is the ‘Actual’ from the Preliminary release and therefore the ‘History’ data will appear unconnected. There are 3 versions of GDP released a month apart – Advance, Preliminary, and Final. The Advance release is the earliest and thus tends to have the most impact;
Why Traders
Care
It’s the broadest measure of economic activity and the primary gauge of the economy’s health;
Pending Home Sales m/m
Source National Association of Realtors (latest release)
Measures Change in the number of homes under contract to be sold but still awaiting the closing transaction, excluding new construction;
Usual Effect Actual > Forecast = Good for currency;
Frequency Released monthly, about 28 days after the month ends;
Next Release Apr 28, 2014
FF Notes This data is released about a week later than Existing Home Sales, but it’s more forward-looking as a contract is signed several weeks before the home is counted as sold;
Why Traders
Care
It’s a leading indicator of economic health because the sale of a home triggers a wide-reaching ripple effect. For example, renovations are done by the new owners, a mortgage is sold by the financing bank, and brokers are paid to execute the transaction;
Also Called Pending Resales;
Source National Association of Realtors (latest release)

Wednesday, March 26, 2014

COMEX Technical Analysis Outlook

GOLD
Gold remained unchanged overnight to open at 1309.00/1310.00. It dropped to a five-week low of 1305.00/1306.00 on expectations of an earlier-than-expected rise in U.S. interest rates underpinned by U.S. data that pointed to a strong gain in consumer confidence while new home sales came in on expectations. 
The metal then climbed to a high of 1315.50/1316.50 on technical buying amidst speculation of potential economic sanctions by the West on Russia over the ongoing Ukrainian crisis. It closed the day flat at 1310.00/1311.00.
Gold found some stability today, closing at 1311, and right around a big technical level at 1312. This is the 38.2% retracement of the 2014 rally. Support is at 1296, the 200-day-moving average. If gold breaks that level we expect there will be stop-loss sellers. Resistance is at yesterday’s high in the 1334 area.
Gold ended with losses as expectations of higher U.S. interest rates and a lack of physical buying weighed on prices.
U.S. consumer confidence surged to a six-year high in March and house prices increased solidly in January, positioning the economy for stronger growth
SPDR gold trust holding dropped by 2.70 tonnes i.e. 0.33% to 818.77 tonnes from 821.47 tonnes.

SILVER
Silver too remained relatively unchanged overnight, opening the session at 19.98/20.03. It dipped to a low of 19.91/19.96 before following gold to a high of 20.14/20.19. It concluded the session at 19.96/20.01.
Silver closed slightly lower today at 19.96 after yesterday’s steep drop. The technical outlook looks bearish, and we expect a test of support at the base in the 18.83 level. Resistance is at yesterday’s high of 20.31.
The gold-silver ratio made a small gain today, trading at 65.65. There is strong support at the uptrend at 62.95. Closer by, there is support at 65.02, the 76.4% retracement of the drop from 67.47 to 57.09. RSI has diverged, and has not made a new high to confirm the new high in the ratio. As noted yesterday, while the uptrend is .still intact, we may see some near-term weakness in the ratio.
Silver dropped as pressure seen after stronger-than-expected consumer confidence numbers and ongoing concerns rate hikes are possible in the U.S. next year
The Commerce Department said new home sales fell by the most in five months in February, indicating headwinds still face the housing sector.
Fed Chair Janet Yellen suggested that interest rates could rise six months after the Fed’s bond-buying program ends.

COPPER
On the Comex division of the New York Mercantile Exchange, copper futures for May delivery rose to a session high of $2.994 a pound, the most since March 20.
Copper last traded at $2.979 a pound during European morning hours, up 1.15%, or 3.4 cents.
Prices lost 0.17%, or 0.5 cents on Monday to settle at 2.945 a pound. Futures were likely to find support at $2.921 a pound, the low from March 24 and resistance at $2.997 a pound, the high from March 19.
Data released on Monday showed that Chinese manufacturing activity deteriorated for a third successive month in March.
The weaker than expected data fuelled hopes Beijing will unveil fresh stimulus measures to combat slowing growth.
The industrial metal fell to $2.877 a pound on March 19, the lowest since July 2010, amid growing concerns over the health of China’s economy.
The Asian nation is the world’s largest copper consumer, accounting for almost 40% of world consumption last year.
Elsewhere on the Comex, gold for June delivery inched up 0.32%, or $4.20, to trade at $1,315.30 a troy ounce, while silver for May delivery added 0.35%, or 7.1 cents, to trade at $20.13 an ounce.
Investors looked ahead to key U.S. economic data later in the day for further indications on the strength of the economy and the future course of monetary policy.
The U.S. is to release report on house price inflation and consumer confidence, as well as official data on new home sales later Tuesday.
Copper prices rallied more than 1% on Tuesday, amid growing hopes that China will unveil fresh stimulus measures to boost slowing economic growth.

CRUDE
On the New York Mercantile Exchange, West Texas Intermediate crude oil for delivery in May traded at $99.31, up 0.10%, after hitting an overnight session low of $98.82 a barrel and a high of $100.22 a barrel.
Brent crude for May delivery, which gauges global oil prices, rose 18 cents, or 0.2%, to $106.99 a barrel on the ICE Futures Europe exchange on Tuesday.
Industry trade group the American Petroleum Institute said domestic crude stockpiles rose 6.3 million barrels last week, while gasoline stocks declined 2.8 million barrels, distillate stocks rose 0.3 million barrels and refinery runs were 86.8% of capacity.
The U.S. Department of Energy will release its own estimates on Wednesday.
Overnight, crude futures fell as investors remained spooked over soft Chinese output data released during the weekend, largely shrugging off robust U.S. consumer confidence data.
Crude falls on China output data, looks past U.S. confidence report
Soft Chinese factory data released over the weekend continued to water down oil prices on Tuesday.
China’s HSBC Flash Purchasing Managers Index, the earliest indicator of the country's industrial activity, fell to an eight-month low of 48.1 in March from a final reading of 48.5 in February, defying expectations for a rise to 48.7.
Crude oil prices rose slightly in Asia on Wednesday on continued geopolitical tensions over the Ukraine, but ample U.S. industry inventory data tempered gains.
Technical Levels

SUPPORT 1 SUPPORT 2 RESISTANCE 1 RESISTANCE 2
GOLD 1305 1299 1317.6 1324
SILVER 19.90 19.73 20.17 20.42
COPPER 2.0041 2.9628 3.0751 3.1048
CRUDE 98.57 97.96 100.02 100.86
Global Economic Data
TIME :IST DATA PRV EXP IMPACT
6.00P.M Core Durable Goods Orders m/m 1.1% 0.3% STRONG
6.00P.M Durable Goods Orders m/m -1.0% 1.1% MEDIUM
8.00P.M Crude Oil Inventories 5.9M 2.9M MEDIUM
Core Durable Goods Orders m/m
Source Census Bureau (latest release)
Measures Change in the total value of new purchase orders placed with manufacturers for durable goods, excluding transportation items;
Usual Effect Actual > Forecast = Good for currency;
Frequency Released monthly, about 26 days after the month ends;
Next Release Apr 24, 2014
FF Notes Orders for aircraft are volatile and can severely distort the underlying trend. The Core data is therefore thought to be a better gauge of purchase order trends;
Why Traders
Care
It's a leading indicator of production - rising purchase orders signal that manufacturers will increase activity as they work to fill the orders;
Also Called Durable Goods Orders Ex Transportation;
Source Census Bureau (latest release)
Durable Goods Orders m/m
Source Census Bureau (latest release)
Measures Change in the total value of new purchase orders placed with manufacturers for durable goods;
Usual Effect Actual > Forecast = Good for currency;
Frequency Released monthly, about 26 days after the month ends;
Next Release Apr 24, 2014
FF Notes This data is usually revised via the Factory Orders report released about a week later. Durable goods are defined as hard products having a life expectancy of more than 3 years, such as automobiles, computers, appliances, and airplanes;
Why Traders
Care
It's a leading indicator of production - rising purchase orders signal that manufacturers will increase activity as they work to fill the orders;
Crude Oil Inventories
Source Energy Information Administration (latest release)
Measures Change in the number of barrels of crude oil held in inventory by commercial firms during the past week;
Usual Effect No consistent effect - there are both inflationary and growth implications;
Frequency Released weekly, 4 days after the week ends;
Next Release Apr 2, 2014
FF Notes While this is a US indicator, it most affects the loonie due to Canada's sizable energy sector;
Why Traders
Care
It influences the price of petroleum products which affects inflation, but also impacts growth as many industries rely on oil to produce goods;
Also Called Crude Stocks, Crude Levels;
Acro Expand Energy Information Administration (EIA);